Abstract:
The airframe digital twin analysis framework developed at the National Research of Canada is being transposed to safe life applications for rotorcraft components. A probabilistic safe life prediction approach, consisting of uncertain material property data and uncertain load spectra is used to calculate risk assessment metrics, such as the cumulative probability of failure, the hazard rate, and the average hazard rate as a function of time. A demonstration of this approach is presented for a CH-146 Griffon component, for which the uncertain loads are estimated from a model developed through machine learning. This preliminary assessment shows the feasibility of using digital twin concepts as a viable alternative to traditional deterministic life predictions, with the potential to reduce maintenance costs and increase aircraft availability.